Nacional U19 vs Vilafranquense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
FCA
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 2
SPO
12%
16%
73%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 2
SET
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
NAC
77%
14%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BLN
1 - 0
NAC
55%
21%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 4
EST
6%
12%
81%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAC
8%
14%
79%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
ACA
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
VIL
24%
21%
56%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
AMO
22%
20%
58%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |