Nacional U19 vs Samora Correia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SIN
0 - 1
NAC
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
RSC
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OEL
0 - 1
NAC
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
UDL
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
ORI
39%
24%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Samora Correia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
FCA
10%
15%
74%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SAM
84%
11%
6%
|
6 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 6
1DE
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ORI
4 - 0
SAM
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SIN
3 - 0
SAM
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |