Nacional U19 vs Desportivo Aves U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 1
NAC
82%
13%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
GFC
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LEX
2 - 2
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
GFC
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 0
NAC
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AVE
2 - 0
LEX
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 1
AVE
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 4
PAÇ
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
OPO
7 - 1
AVE
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BRG
6 - 2
AVE
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |