Nacional U19 vs Casa Pia AC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
4º
3º
22
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BLN
0 - 1
NAC
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOR
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOR
22%
21%
58%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EST
3 - 2
NAC
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
MAR
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAP
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 2
CAP
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 3
BEN
5%
11%
84%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |