Nacional U19 vs Caldas SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SIN
2 - 3
NAC
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
UDL
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 3
NAC
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GDA
1 - 3
NAC
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 3
CSC
60%
19%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 0
CDF
62%
19%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAC
3 - 4
CSC
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 1
GDA
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 2
MAF
22%
20%
59%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |