Nacional U19 vs Benfica U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
81.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAC
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
NAC
9%
15%
76%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
AMO
1 - 1
NAC
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIL
87%
10%
4%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
FCA
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Benfica U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 4
BEN
4%
11%
86%
|
52 | 11 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
7 - 0
AMO
94%
5%
1%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 0
BYM
79%
13%
8%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 3
BEN
12%
18%
71%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 2
SPO
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |