Nacional U19 vs Alcanenense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GDA
1 - 3
NAC
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 2
CSC
53%
22%
24%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAC
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 1
NAC
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
UDL
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcanenense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 3
UDL
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SAC
3 - 1
ALC
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SIN
0 - 0
ALC
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 2
GDA
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 0
ALC
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |