Nacional SP vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
3 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
MIR
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
XVD
4 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
AGU
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 2
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
XVD
0 - 0
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 3
XVD
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
XVD
4 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 0
XVD
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 1
NOR
66%
22%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |