Nacional SP vs Votuporanguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
COM
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
VOT
3 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
RBB
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
SJS
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Votuporanguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
RBB
0 - 0
VOT
58%
23%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VOT
0 - 0
RBB
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
VOT
3 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
VOT
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VOT
3 - 2
OLI
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |