Nacional SP vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
15%
22%
64%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 1
NAC
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
FLA
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
NAC
67%
19%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
FLA
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
AME
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AME
3 - 0
UNI
9%
16%
76%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 3
UNI
15%
20%
66%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
NAC
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |