Nacional SP vs Taubaté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
5 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
TAU
0 - 1
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
TAU
0 - 2
AGU
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
TAU
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAO
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
TAU
14%
19%
67%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |