Nacional SP vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
NOR
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 2
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 3
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
SJS
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 3
SER
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
TUP
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |