Nacional SP vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 1
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
SER
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 2
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
COT
4 - 1
SAO
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
PRI
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ATI
2 - 1
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |