Nacional SP vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
78%
16%
7%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 5
NAC
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
SJS
6 - 0
FLA
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SJS
0 - 1
AGU
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
SJS
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 2
SAN
8%
17%
75%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 5
NAC
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |