Nacional SP vs Santos B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
5 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
INT
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Santos B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
TAU
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 2
SAN
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | +1 |