Nacional SP vs RB Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
SJS
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
78%
16%
7%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 0
XVD
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
RBB
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
RBB
4 - 1
ITU
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
RBB
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 2
RBB
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |