Nacional SP vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
BER
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
BAT
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
2 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 1
NOR
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COM
3 - 2
PRI
63%
23%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 0
VEL
19%
25%
57%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
LIN
1 - 1
PRI
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 0
PRI
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |