Nacional SP vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 2
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 3
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
PEN
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
FER
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEM
0 - 4
NOR
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
BEB
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |