Nacional SP vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TAU
3 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
RIO
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
XVD
1 - 2
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
AGU
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
INT
2 - 2
JUV
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |