Nacional SP vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 5
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
AUD
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
SAO
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BRU
3 - 0
JUV
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 1
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 1
JUV
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |