Nacional SP vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TAU
3 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 2
ATI
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VOT
1 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
INT
1 - 2
POR
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
INT
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
INT
2 - 2
JUV
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 1
INT
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
POR
2 - 3
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |