Nacional SP vs Cotia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 2
NAC
46%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
0 - 2
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
VOT
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRÊ
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cotia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COT
0 - 2
VOT
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
COT
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COT
2 - 3
ATI
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 0
COT
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
COT
0 - 3
SER
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |