Nacional SP vs Olímpia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 1
NAC
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
4 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 3
XVD
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
3 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
MIR
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 0
VEL
25%
24%
52%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 1
OLI
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAO
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
BER
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
AUD
5 - 2
OLI
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |