Nacional SP vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SJS
1 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIO
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
COT
64%
20%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 2
NAC
46%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 2
PRI
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |