Nacional SP vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
TAB
2 - 3
NAC
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
ITU
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
JUV
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
ATI
0 - 1
AUD
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AUD
4 - 1
TAB
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 2
TAU
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
XVD
1 - 0
AUD
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |