Nacional SP vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 4
ATI
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
NAC
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 2
TAB
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
SER
17%
22%
60%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
TAU
2 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
SAO
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
4 - 1
AGU
9%
17%
74%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 3
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |