Cup Paulista Last 16
Global 0-2
Nacional SP vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 5
GSP
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GSP
2 - 2
NAC
11%
17%
72%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
POR
4 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
POR
2 - 0
GSP
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 0
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
POR
4 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |