Nacional SP vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ATI
2 - 3
NAC
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUD
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
TAB
2 - 3
NAC
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
ITU
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
TAB
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 0
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ITU
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ATI
1 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |