Nacional SP vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
INT
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
52%
26%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |