Nacional SP U20 vs Canaã U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
38.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
AVA
29%
24%
46%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
RET
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAO
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Canaã U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
CAJ
2 - 1
CAN
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
CAN
75%
15%
10%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | -1 |