Nacional PR vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 1
COT
7%
17%
76%
|
35 | 82 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
JMA
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
NPR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
LON
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
NPR
83%
12%
4%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
2 - 1
ARA
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
0 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 2
TCW
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
1 - 1
RIO
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
TCW
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |