Nacional PR vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
NPR
3 - 4
ACP
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TCW
2 - 0
NPR
64%
22%
15%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
COT
2 - 0
NPR
89%
9%
2%
|
39 | 82 | 43 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 0
NPR
61%
22%
16%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 2
RIO
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 1
LON
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 2
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 1
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 1
CIA
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |