Nacional PR vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
63.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
PRU
3 - 2
NPR
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
8 - 0
NPR
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 3
CAS
11%
20%
69%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
BAN
15%
24%
61%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 2
GEM
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
8 - 0
NPR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
MIR
21%
28%
52%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
MIR
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
6 - 0
TCW
71%
20%
10%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | +1 |