Nacional PR vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
NPR
83%
12%
4%
|
35 | 74 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
65%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 3
CIA
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 0
NPR
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
OPE
22%
24%
55%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
0 - 1
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LON
0 - 1
COT
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 2
LON
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LON
3 - 1
ACP
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |