Nacional PR vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
NPR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
LON
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
NPR
83%
12%
4%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 3
CIA
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 3
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 3
JMA
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 1
JMA
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
1 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |