Nacional PR vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
75.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
JMA
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
NPR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
LON
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
NPR
83%
12%
4%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
COT
2 - 3
PAR
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 3
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COT
2 - 0
CIA
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 2
COT
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
OPE
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |