Nacional PR vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
72.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
NPR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 3
NPR
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
NPR
1 - 0
JTF
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FOZ
4 - 1
NPR
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
NPR
2 - 1
CIN
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
RIO
83%
12%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 1
CRB
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 1
JEC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 0
IFC
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 0
ATP
13%
23%
64%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | -1 |