Nacional PR vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 1
NPR
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 0
NPR
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
TCW
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 1
COT
7%
17%
76%
|
35 | 82 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
JMA
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAR
26%
27%
48%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 0
SAO
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 1
ARA
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
COT
3 - 2
ARA
86%
11%
3%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |