Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 4-3
Nacional Potosí vs Sport Huancayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
BLO
2 - 0
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
SBW
1 - 3
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
STR
3 - 2
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 1
PET
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 0
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Huancayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
HUA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
HUA
3 - 2
AUR
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 0
HUA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 1
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
HUA
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |