Nacional Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
REA
1 - 2
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 0
LAP
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OPE
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 2
OPE
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |