Nacional Potosí vs Atlético Palmaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
16º
4º
29
3º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 3
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 4
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
UDV
0 - 0
NAC
28%
27%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
JWI
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
REA
3 - 3
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Palmaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CMV
2 - 0
JWI
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
REA
2 - 0
CMV
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
CMV
2 - 2
VAC
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
CMV
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CMV
0 - 1
AUR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |