Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUR
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
LAP
1 - 5
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BOL
2 - 1
NAC
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
STR
37%
26%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
BLO
1 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
OPE
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CIC
3 - 0
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
5 - 0
ORU
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAC
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |