Nacional Potosí vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
BOL
4 - 2
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 0
BLO
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 2
RPO
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
ROY
2 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 4
AUR
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 2
DRT
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
AUR
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
BOL
5 - 1
AUR
70%
18%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 0
BLO
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |