Nacional Potosí vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
ROY
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 2
MEL
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 1
ROY
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 0
AUR
87%
10%
4%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 0
CMV
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OPE
2 - 1
AUR
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 1
JWI
17%
24%
60%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |