Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
14º
3º
31
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 45 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 39 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 35 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 34 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 34 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 30 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0.5% | 75.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DRT
2 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
JWI
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
BOC
4 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BLO
0 - 5
BOL
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 3
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAL
51%
22%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 0
SAC
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |