Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
CMV
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
SAC
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ROY
2 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 5
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GIR
2 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 4
STR
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 2
CMV
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 0
JWI
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
IND
1 - 4
BOL
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |