Nacional vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 3
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 0
CAM
92%
6%
1%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
GLP
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 2
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 3
TAC
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
BOS
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BOS
1 - 1
VIL
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
VIL
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEN
51%
24%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |