Nacional vs Valencia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
VAL
2 - 5
NAC
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 29 | 54 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 4
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
57%
22%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1969 |
EST
2 - 0
NAC
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1970 |
VAL
3 - 1
GAL
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
VAL
2 - 5
NAC
17%
20%
63%
|
29 | 83 | 54 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
VAL
0 - 0
PEÑ
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 84 | 56 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 2
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | +2 |