Nacional vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1971 |
PAL
0 - 3
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1971 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1971 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 0
CHA
86%
10%
5%
|
83 | 12 | 71 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
NAC
5 - 0
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1971 |
PAL
3 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1971 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAL
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1971 |
UNI
3 - 0
SPC
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1971 |
CEN
2 - 2
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |