Nacional vs Tacuarembó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CER
4 - 1
NAC
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
LFC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CSM
2 - 4
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
BVS
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BVS
3 - 2
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 1
CSM
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 0
TAC
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TAC
3 - 2
LFC
26%
26%
49%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MWA
2 - 0
TAC
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |